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Investment
Advice to Help You Reach Your Lifetime Goals
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Our
Investment Philosophy (Index
Funds) |
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Based on a thorough understanding
of the client's financial objectives, risk tolerance and investment
time horizon; we help them build a diversified portfolio centered
around the use of low cost and tax efficient stock index mutual
funds.
Our investment philosophy is based on extensive academic
research, which has shown that trying to beat the stock market
is a "loser's game". Numerous studies have shown
that attempting to select successful (consistent market beating)
active investment managers and mutual funds is virtually impossible
and prohibitively expensive. It is our belief that a well-diversified
portfolio containing index funds offers the investor the highest
probability of reaching their financial goals.
By using the passive investing (index funds) approach, a
portfolio that is periodically rebalanced, can be effectively
maintained without incurring the additional cost of ongoing
professional portfolio management.
With this philosophy, Lifetime Financial Planning can review
your portfolio on an "as-needed basis for an hourly fee".
In most cases this fee will be considerably less than the annual
fee charged by an investment manager, which is typically 1 to
2 percent of assets under management. |
Why
Index Funds Over Actively
Managed Funds? |
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1. Many studies
have shown that over extended periods of time, most equity investment
managers under perform relevant indexes by about as much as
they charge in fees and incur in trading costs. 2.
The number of mutual funds and investment managers that outperform
indexes over extended periods of time is no greater than that
which would occur from random chance. 3.
The random pattern of mutual fund returns indicates that there
is no consistent means of selecting mutual funds, which will
outperform in the future. |
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Turn on a Paradigm?
Fundamentally weighted indexing vs. capitalization weighted
indexing.
By John C. Bogle and Burton G. Malkiel
As index funds gain an increasing share of the portfolios
of mutual funds, institutional equity and bond funds, academics
and practitioners are hotly debating how these portfolios
should be composed. Capitalization-weighted indexing, until
now the dominant approach, has come under fire for overweighting
portfolios with (temporarily) overvalued stocks and underweighting
them with undervalued ones.
Eugene Fama and Kenneth French have suggested that higher
returns can be generated by indexed portfolios of stocks with
small capitalizations and low price-to-book-value ratios.
Robert Arnott has argued that a better method for indexing
is to eight the stocks in the index not by their total capitalization,
but rather by certain "fundamental" factors such
as sales, earnings or book values. Jeremy Siegel has proposed
that the "fundamental factor" should be the dividends
that companies pay. These analysts have all argued that fundamentally
weighted indexes represent the "new paradigm" for
index-fund investing.
Are they correct? We think not. There is no doubt that fundamentally
weighted indexes have outperformed capitalization-weighted
indexes during the past six years, which witnessed the collapse
of the "new economy" bubble and partial recovery.
But we need to be cautious before accepting any "new
paradigm" that implicitly suggests that the "old
paradigm" -- reflected in more than $3 trillion of capitalization-weighted
index investment funds -- is in error. During the three-plus
decades that such passively managed funds have been available,
they have provided for their investors returns substantially
superior to the returns achieved by actively managed equity
funds. We need to understand why capitalization-weighted indexes
make sense -- even if market prices are "noisy"
and can fluctuate above or below the values they would have
in a perfectly efficient market. Read
the entire article |
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The Difficulty of Selecting
Superior Mutual Fund Performance
Journal
of Financial Planning - February 2006 Issue
By Thomas P. McGuigan, CFP®
Much has been written about the management of mutual funds
and active versus passive management. This study attempts
to quantify the relative performance of actively managed large-
and mid-cap domestic stock mutual funds with a passive strategy
during a 20-year period beginning December 1, 1983, and ending
November 30, 2003.
...The study shows that there is remarkable consistency in
the relative performance of active versus passive strategies
during ten-year periods, that the number and percentage of
individual actively managed funds that have outperformed the
passive approach is low, and that based on data available
to planners, it is difficult to predict in advance which actively
managed funds will outperform during the next ten-year period.
Read
the entire article |
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10 Questions with...Burton
Malkiel on A Random Walk Down Wall Street
Journal
of Financial Planning's Interview with Dr. Burton G. Malkiel
He's been called the intellectual midwife of the indexing
phenomenon. The book has been called a classic. Both are rightly
so. When Dr. Burton Malkiel wrote A Random Walk Down Wall
Street in 1973, now in its eighth edition, he offered up the
premise that a blindfolded chimpanzee throwing darts at the
Wall Street Journal could select a portfolio that performs
as well as those managed by the experts. It was, says Malkiel,
a clever metaphor; but the better one is, "Just throw
a towel over the stock pages and go buy as broad-based an
index fund as you can find."
...Malkiel has consistently tested his premise and says that
the evidence suggest that, long term, few professional money
managers outperform a passive index - and those who do so
in one period regularly fail to repeat it in another period.
He says he recognizes that telling investors there's no way
to outperform the market is like telling a kid there's no
Santa Claus: "It takes the zip out."
...most individuals get "sold" financial products.
Brokers and advisors don't make any money if they put you
in a Vanguard index fund, but they do get paid for selling
you a hot, actively managed fund. Read
the entire interview. |
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Mutual Fund Scandals
Will Make Fund Industry Better in the Long Run
By Dean Knepper, CPA, CFP®
Last year, it seemed that every morning the newspaper reported
some scandalous behavior associated with corporate accounting.
Remember Enron and the other related headlines? This year,
the bad news allegations have been about a handful of mutual
fund families.
As an independent, professional financial advisor, I’d
like to add my voice to what will obviously be an ongoing conversation
in the weeks and months ahead. Hopefully, this commentary will
provide some insights and help you give you a better perspective
regarding what the press is calling “the Mutual Fund Scandal.”
Read the entire article |
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FAMILY FINANCE: Saving
for College
How families can plan for their children’s higher
education.
Loudoun Family Magazine's Interview with Dean
Knepper, CPA, CFP®
By Kevin Self, Editor
Sending children to college can be one of the most financially
challenging times for a family. Parents want the best for
their children, but the cost of living—let alone higher
education—is not getting cheaper. For a child born today,
a four-year, Virginia state college education is estimated
to cost over $40,000 per year. Loudoun Family Magazine spoke
with Dean Knepper, a local financial expert and the founding
principal of Lifetime Financial Planning, based in Leesburg.
Knepper, a CERTIFIED PUBLIC ACCOUNTANT and CERTIFIED FINANCIAL
PLANNER™ professional, answers questions concerning
the best ways for families to save money for college and gives
practical advice on how to get started now on your children’s
college fund. Read the entire interview |
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Sucker's Bet
By William Bernstein,
PH.D., M.D. - Author of The Four Pillars of Investing
and The Intelligent Asset Allocator
Overwhelming empirical evidence shows that attempting to select
successful active [investment] managers is virtually impossible,
so why try? ...At first thought, it does seem reasonable
that there is such a thing as money management skill. It should
be a straightforward matter to identify and employ for our
clients those managers whose prior results promise future
excess returns. Unfortunately, the overwhelming empirical
evidence shows that attempting to select successful active
managers is virtually impossible and, alas, prohibitively
expensive if implemented. Read
the entire article |
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Serious Money - Straight
Talk about Investing for Retirement
By Richard A. Ferri,
CFA - Author of All About Index Funds and Protecting
Your Wealth
Almost every financial plan will undoubtedly lead to some investment
in the stock market. What is the best way to achieve a fair
return in stocks? The answer is to develop a diversified portfolio
of low cost, market-matching index funds. Indexing
the stock markets make a lot of sense for four reasons. First,
index funds are low cost; second, they perform better than almost
all active strategies; third, they reduce the desire to chase
the hot dot since you already own the stocks that are performing
well; and fourth, they are tax efficient. Nearly every
academic study concludes that index funds offer better performance
overall than active (beat the market) strategies. Few active
managers are able to achieve the returns of indexes, let alone
beat them - and it is impossible to tell which managers will
be successful in the future. The markets make people wealthy,
not speculative strategies designed to beat the markets. Read
the entire book online |
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Dollar-Cost Averaging:
Emotional Panacea or Logical Fallacy?
By Moshe Milevsky, Ph.D.
- Author of Wealth Logic, Insurance Logic, Money Logic,
and Probability of Fortune
DCA is an inferior strategy. Alternate strategies result in
greater expected wealth for the same level of risk or identical
wealth for lower risk.
Replacing one major investment decision with many smaller
ones does not make the final outcome any safer. Therefore,
if you have the money now and you have the choice, it is best
to pick an asset allocation that you are comfortable with—and
live with it. If you don’t have the money now, invest
it as soon as it is available without using an averaging strategy.
If you use DCA as a savings strategy, then you are essentially
investing when you have the money, and forcing yourself to
save, which is a good thing. The conscious decision to split
your investments over time is the problem.
Saving money on a regular basis is a wonderful idea, unfortunately
investing it isn’t. Read
the entire chapter from Dr. Milevsky's book: Wealth
Logic - Wisdom for Improving Your Personal Finances. |
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It's the Execution,
Stupid
By William Bernstein,
PH.D., M.D. - Author of The Four Pillars of Investing
and The Intelligent Asset Allocator
...How do I really feel about ETFs? I don’t buy them.
Not for myself, my family and, in particular, not for the clients
of our advisory firm. The reason? Because, in most cases, you
can do better. To show you why, I’ve put together a table
from the Morningstar database ...In all seven cases
where a direct head-to-head comparison can be made, the Vanguard
funds outperform the iShares. Read
the entire article |
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CPA Checklist to Protect
Against Investment Fraud
By The Virginia Society of
Certified Public Accountants
"No risks. Fast profits. Upfront money." If an investment
opportunity is described to you in these terms, don't part with
your money, advises the Virginia Society of CPAs. Americans
are losing billions of dollars a year to fraudulent investments,
and these bogus opportunities come in many guises. Read
the entire article |
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Learn
More About Investing in Index Funds at Fool.com |
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Lifetime Financial
Planning, Inc.
Dean
Knepper, CPA, CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER™ professional
208 South King Street, Suite 201, Leesburg,
Virginia, 20175
Phone: (703) 779-0515 - Fax: (703) 468-7086 - E-mail: info@lifetimefp.net
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